Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Wilguens Paugain remove | Tiago Manso remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Zulte Waregem · Jupiler Pro League | CD Tondela · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1228 | 1194 |
| League minutes | 1011 (37%) | 1535 (50%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 5 | 9 |
| Market value | €800k | €900k |
| Estimated acquisition | €280k – €1.2M | €268k – €676k |
| Model value | €335k – €762k | €389k – €656k |
| Projected value (24m) | €388k – €1.7M | €488k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | 76/100 | 94/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€280k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€335k – €762k Projected value (24 months)€388k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€268k – €676k Model value (performance-implied)€389k – €656k Projected value (24 months)€488k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€900k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Wilguens Paugain and Tiago Manso
- Manso is estimated to cost far less (€357k vs €584k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Manso (Bargain Index 94 vs 76) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.