Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Valentin Paltsev remove | Óscar Rivas remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier Liga | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1372 | 1361 |
| League minutes | 1213 (45%) | 1620 (53%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 35 | 35 |
| Market value | €3.0M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.5M – €3.9M | €398k – €1.6M |
| Model value | €689k – €1.8M | €630k – €2.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.5M – €3.5M | €596k – €1.7M |
| Bargain Index | 29/100 | 57/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.5M – €3.9M Model value (performance-implied)€689k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.5M – €3.5M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€398k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€630k – €2.4M Projected value (24 months)€596k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Valentin Paltsev and Óscar Rivas
- Rivas is estimated to cost far less (€919k vs €2.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Rivas (Bargain Index 57 vs 29) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Paltsev High, Rivas Moderate.