Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ilaix Moriba remove | Mikael Egill Ellertsson remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Celta de Vigo · Laliga | Genoa CFC · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1498 | 1407 |
| League minutes | 2489 (73%) | 2768 (81%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 78 | 62 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €6.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €11.5M – €23.6M | €4.2M – €8.6M |
| Model value | €10.6M – €29.4M | €3.7M – €12.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €8.1M – €24.9M | €3.7M – €10.2M |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€11.5M – €23.6M Model value (performance-implied)€10.6M – €29.4M Projected value (24 months)€8.1M – €24.9M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.2M – €8.6M Model value (performance-implied)€3.7M – €12.6M Projected value (24 months)€3.7M – €10.2M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ilaix Moriba and Mikael Egill Ellertsson
- Ellertsson is estimated to cost far less (€5.3M vs €16.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ellertsson (Bargain Index 68 vs 50) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.