Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Zé Carlos remove | Sam Kersten remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 28 |
| Position | Right-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal | SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1303 | 1284 |
| League minutes | 2466 (81%) | 2352 (77%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 39 | 35 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €600k – €2.2M | €552k – €1.5M |
| Model value | €620k – €1.3M | €598k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €953k – €2.5M | €858k – €2.3M |
| Bargain Index | 71/100 | 85/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€600k – €2.2M Model value (performance-implied)€620k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€953k – €2.5M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€552k – €1.5M Model value (performance-implied)€598k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€858k – €2.3M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Zé Carlos and Sam Kersten
- Kersten is estimated to cost far less (€736k vs €1.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Kersten (Bargain Index 85 vs 71) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Carlos Moderate, Kersten High.