Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Castello Lukeba remove | Renato Veiga remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 22 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga | Villarreal CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1568 | 1544 |
| League minutes | 2177 (71%) | 2478 (73%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 82 | 81 |
| Market value | €50.0M | €25.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €38.4M – €64.4M | €18.5M – €33.4M |
| Model value | €8.7M – €34.9M | €9.5M – €26.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €24.5M – €58.6M | €15.1M – €35.5M |
| Bargain Index | 6/100 | 42/100 |
| Development | Moderate | High |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 8% |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€38.4M – €64.4M Model value (performance-implied)€8.7M – €34.9M Projected value (24 months)€24.5M – €58.6M Dashed line: current market value (€50.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€18.5M – €33.4M Model value (performance-implied)€9.5M – €26.3M Projected value (24 months)€15.1M – €35.5M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Castello Lukeba and Renato Veiga
- Veiga is estimated to cost far less (€25.5M vs €53.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Veiga (Bargain Index 42 vs 6) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.