Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Brayann Pereira remove | Miguel Nóbrega remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 26 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1362 | 1361 |
| League minutes | 1165 (38%) | 1000 (33%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 37 | 14 |
| Market value | €1.0M | €400k |
| Estimated acquisition | €383k – €1.3M | €148k – €525k |
| Model value | €805k – €2.0M | €461k – €1.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €593k – €2.4M | €280k – €620k |
| Bargain Index | 98/100 | 86/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€383k – €1.3M Model value (performance-implied)€805k – €2.0M Projected value (24 months)€593k – €2.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€148k – €525k Model value (performance-implied)€461k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€280k – €620k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Brayann Pereira and Miguel Nóbrega
- Pereira is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Nóbrega is estimated to cost far less (€290k vs €511k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Pereira (Bargain Index 98 vs 86) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Pereira Very High, Nóbrega High.