Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ryan Fosso remove | Lennard Hartjes remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 23 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie · Eredivisie | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1175 | 1183 |
| League minutes | 1513 (49%) | 1565 (51%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 10 | 5 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €683k – €2.7M | €321k – €799k |
| Model value | €343k – €956k | €345k – €633k |
| Projected value (24m) | €940k – €3.3M | €467k – €1.8M |
| Bargain Index | 84/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€683k – €2.7M Model value (performance-implied)€343k – €956k Projected value (24 months)€940k – €3.3M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€321k – €799k Model value (performance-implied)€345k – €633k Projected value (24 months)€467k – €1.8M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ryan Fosso and Lennard Hartjes
- Hartjes is estimated to cost far less (€428k vs €1.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Hartjes (Bargain Index 97 vs 84) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Fosso High, Hartjes Very High.