Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Metehan Altunbaş remove | Guilherme Neiva remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | Eyüpspor · Super Lig | Avs Futebol · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1204 | 1182 |
| League minutes | 1006 (33%) | 923 (30%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.72 | 0.49 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 10 | 7 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €300k |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €3.5M | €125k – €562k |
| Model value | €305k – €792k | €308k – €777k |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.1M – €4.5M | €221k – €464k |
| Bargain Index | 58/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.5M Model value (performance-implied)€305k – €792k Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €4.5M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€125k – €562k Model value (performance-implied)€308k – €777k Projected value (24 months)€221k – €464k Dashed line: current market value (€300k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Metehan Altunbaş and Guilherme Neiva
- Neiva plays in a stronger league (0.58 vs 0.40); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Neiva is estimated to cost far less (€166k vs €2.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Neiva (Bargain Index 98 vs 58) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Altunbaş Very High, Neiva High.