Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matvey Lukin remove | Marco Kana remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | PFK CSKA Moskva · Premier Liga | RSC Anderlecht · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1436 | 1393 |
| League minutes | 1384 (51%) | 1472 (55%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 46 | 39 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €3.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.5M – €8.0M | €1.9M – €5.3M |
| Model value | €809k – €5.7M | €937k – €3.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.1M – €9.9M | €1.4M – €4.8M |
| Bargain Index | 52/100 | 41/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 19% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.5M – €8.0M Model value (performance-implied)€809k – €5.7M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €9.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €5.3M Model value (performance-implied)€937k – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €4.8M Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matvey Lukin and Marco Kana
- Kana is estimated to cost far less (€3.2M vs €5.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Lukin (Bargain Index 52 vs 41) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Lukin Very High, Kana Moderate.