Marco Kana
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Marco Kana's performance-implied value at EUR 0.9M-3.0M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 1.9M-5.3M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 1.4M-4.8M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Bargain Index: 41
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 39.1th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Favorable | 23.9 years |
| Acquisition cost | Neutral | est. €3.2M vs market €3.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Neutral | -2% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very negative | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Moderate | league coefficient 0.65 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | Moderate | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 1472 (55% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.00
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.02
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 39 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.65 (rank 6)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1393
- Opponent strength
- 1371
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- insufficient
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €1.4M – €4.8M
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -32% (IQR -46% to -19%).
Risk profile
Overall: Moderate
- ⚠Limited sample: 1472 league minutes last season.
- ⚠Projection range wider than for most evaluated players.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 76 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 67%–160%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 76%
- Confidence
- Medium
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 18 | 1472 | 55% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1371 | 1393 | 0.65 |
| 2023/24 | KV Kortrijk | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 16 | 1306 | 48% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1396 | 1187 | 0.63 |
| 2023/24 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 2 | 20 | 1% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1326 | 1516 | 0.63 |
| 2022/23 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 9 | 344 | 11% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 1286 | 1432 | 0.58 |
| 2021/22 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | CM | 4 | 67 | 2% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 1418 | 1459 | 0.49 |
| 2020/21 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | DM | 8 | 347 | 11% | 0 | 1 | 0.26 | 0.10 | 1271 | 1457 | 0.55 |
| 2019/20 | RSC Anderlecht | Jupiler Pro League | CB | 15 | 1119 | 43% | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.08 | 1387 | 1443 | 0.63 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Jupiler Pro League Playoff I | RSC Anderlecht | 8 | 571 | 0 | 0 | 1490 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 4 | 347 | 0 | 0 | 1399 |
| 2025/26 | Uefa Europa League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1308 |
| 2022/23 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 3 | 141 | 0 | 0 | 1562 |
| 2021/22 | Uefa Conference League Qualifying | RSC Anderlecht | 1 | 45 | 0 | 0 | 1300 |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gideon Mensah Liga Portugal · 2021 | 23 | €2.5M | €2.5M | flat |
| Jakub Brabec Jupiler Pro League · 2017 | 25 | €2.5M | €2.0M | fell |
| Fabiano Liga Portugal · 2023 | 23 | €3.0M | €1.7M | fell |
| Martin Milec Jupiler Pro League · 2015 | 24 | €1.5M | €700k | fell |
| Mathieu Deplagne Ligue 1 · 2016 | 25 | €2.0M | €1.3M | fell |
| Stéphane Sparagna Liga Portugal · 2018 | 23 | €1.3M | €300k | fell |
| Murilo Premier Liga · 2020 | 23 | €2.4M | €2.0M | flat |
| Abdul Mumin Liga Portugal · 2021 | 23 | €2.0M | €1.5M | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2024 | KV Kortrijk | RSC Anderlecht | Free / loan | €1.5M |
| 1 Sept 2023 | RSC Anderlecht | KV Kortrijk | Free / loan | €2.0M |
| 1 Jul 2019 | Anderlecht U18 | RSC Anderlecht | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 1 Jul 2018 | Anderlecht Yth. | Anderlecht U18 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.