Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| João Pedro remove | Igor Jesus remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 25 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Chelsea FC · Premier League | Nottingham Forest · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1615 | 1635 |
| League minutes | 2674 (78%) | 2315 (68%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.77 | 0.39 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.53 | 0.46 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 97 | 90 |
| Market value | €80.0M | €25.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €61.2M – €111M | €18.8M – €36.5M |
| Model value | €40.1M – €69.3M | €13.9M – €61.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €53.2M – €98.9M | €16.7M – €43.6M |
| Bargain Index | 13/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€61.2M – €111M Model value (performance-implied)€40.1M – €69.3M Projected value (24 months)€53.2M – €98.9M Dashed line: current market value (€80.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €36.5M Model value (performance-implied)€13.9M – €61.3M Projected value (24 months)€16.7M – €43.6M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates João Pedro and Igor Jesus
- Jesus is estimated to cost far less (€27.9M vs €89.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jesus (Bargain Index 55 vs 13) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.