Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

Yan Couto removeArthur remove
Age2423
PositionRight midfielderRight midfielder
Club · leagueBorussia Dortmund · BundesligaBayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga
League strength0.940.94
Team strength (Elo)16561626
League minutes995 (33%)1132 (37%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.450.32
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.210.19
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile8274
Market value€17.0M€8.0M
Estimated acquisition€13.4M – €22.6M€5.9M – €12.2M
Model value€11.5M – €24.5M€6.9M – €15.2M
Projected value (24m)€9.8M – €29.2M€5.0M – €15.3M
Bargain Index44/10060/100
DevelopmentModerateModerate
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskModerateModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€13.4M – €22.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€11.5M – €24.5M
Projected value (24 months)€9.8M – €29.2M
Dashed line: current market value (€17.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€5.9M – €12.2M
Model value (performance-implied)€6.9M – €15.2M
Projected value (24 months)€5.0M – €15.3M
Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates Yan Couto and Arthur

  • Arthur is estimated to cost far less (€7.7M vs €16.9M mid-estimate).
  • On value for money the model prefers Arthur (Bargain Index 60 vs 44) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.