Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gonzalo Crettaz remove | Lucas Lund remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 26 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie | Viborg FF · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1362 | 1286 |
| League minutes | 2790 (91%) | 1980 (100%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 28 | 22 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.8M – €5.5M | €592k – €2.1M |
| Model value | €478k – €1.6M | €404k – €977k |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.0M – €5.7M | €1.1M – €3.4M |
| Bargain Index | 67/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €5.5M Model value (performance-implied)€478k – €1.6M Projected value (24 months)€2.0M – €5.7M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€592k – €2.1M Model value (performance-implied)€404k – €977k Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.4M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gonzalo Crettaz and Lucas Lund
- Lund is estimated to cost far less (€790k vs €2.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Lund (Bargain Index 98 vs 67) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Crettaz Moderate, Lund High.