Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Brandon Aguilera remove | Zé Carlos remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Rio Ave FC · Liga Portugal | Gil Vicente FC · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1254 | 1303 |
| League minutes | 1378 (45%) | 1198 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 24 | 14 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €586k – €1.6M | €349k – €1.1M |
| Model value | €554k – €1.7M | €403k – €880k |
| Projected value (24m) | €775k – €2.7M | €493k – €1.4M |
| Bargain Index | 96/100 | 69/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€586k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€554k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€775k – €2.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€349k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€403k – €880k Projected value (24 months)€493k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Brandon Aguilera and Zé Carlos
- On value for money the model prefers Aguilera (Bargain Index 96 vs 69) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Aguilera Very High, Carlos High.