Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Marc Casadó remove | Patrick Osterhage remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 26 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | FC Barcelona · Laliga | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1787 | 1551 |
| League minutes | 981 (29%) | 1187 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 86 | 76 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €13.0M – €25.2M | €6.2M – €16.2M |
| Model value | €15.5M – €41.8M | €5.6M – €16.9M |
| Projected value (24m) | €12.1M – €31.1M | €4.7M – €14.5M |
| Bargain Index | 61/100 | 15/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 22% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€13.0M – €25.2M Model value (performance-implied)€15.5M – €41.8M Projected value (24 months)€12.1M – €31.1M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€6.2M – €16.2M Model value (performance-implied)€5.6M – €16.9M Projected value (24 months)€4.7M – €14.5M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Marc Casadó and Patrick Osterhage
- Casadó is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Osterhage is estimated to cost far less (€11.2M vs €16.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Casadó (Bargain Index 61 vs 15) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.