Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Maranhão remove | Abraham Marcus remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 26 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | CD Tondela · Liga Portugal | CF Estrela Amadora · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1194 | 1195 |
| League minutes | 2472 (81%) | 2576 (84%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.48 | 0.51 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 22 | 25 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €460k – €1.6M | €396k – €1.1M |
| Model value | €530k – €1.2M | €679k – €1.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €745k – €1.9M | €676k – €1.8M |
| Bargain Index | 66/100 | 79/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€460k – €1.6M Model value (performance-implied)€530k – €1.2M Projected value (24 months)€745k – €1.9M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€396k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€679k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€676k – €1.8M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Maranhão and Abraham Marcus
- On value for money the model prefers Marcus (Bargain Index 79 vs 66) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.