Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Manfred Ugalde remove | Tamerlan Musaev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 24 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga | PFK CSKA Moskva · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1443 | 1436 |
| League minutes | 1848 (68%) | 1415 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 62 | 49 |
| Market value | €12.0M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €8.6M – €15.9M | €1.1M – €3.4M |
| Model value | €2.0M – €10.7M | €1.3M – €7.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €4.8M – €16.7M | €1.1M – €4.2M |
| Bargain Index | 20/100 | 52/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Very High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€8.6M – €15.9M Model value (performance-implied)€2.0M – €10.7M Projected value (24 months)€4.8M – €16.7M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €3.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.3M – €7.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €4.2M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Manfred Ugalde and Tamerlan Musaev
- Ugalde was used far more by the club (68% of minutes vs 52%).
- Musaev is estimated to cost far less (€2.1M vs €11.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Musaev (Bargain Index 52 vs 20) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Ugalde High, Musaev Very High.