Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lamare Bogarde remove | Marc Casadó remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 22 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Aston Villa · Premier League | FC Barcelona · Laliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1721 | 1787 |
| League minutes | 1048 (31%) | 981 (29%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 86 | 86 |
| Market value | €18.0M | €18.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €14.3M – €27.4M | €13.0M – €25.2M |
| Model value | €14.5M – €31.9M | €15.5M – €41.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €13.1M – €35.3M | €12.1M – €31.1M |
| Bargain Index | 49/100 | 61/100 |
| Development | High | High |
| Breakout probability | 15% | 22% |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€14.3M – €27.4M Model value (performance-implied)€14.5M – €31.9M Projected value (24 months)€13.1M – €35.3M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€13.0M – €25.2M Model value (performance-implied)€15.5M – €41.8M Projected value (24 months)€12.1M – €31.1M Dashed line: current market value (€18.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lamare Bogarde and Marc Casadó
- Bogarde plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.95); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- On value for money the model prefers Casadó (Bargain Index 61 vs 49) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.