Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Robin Roefs remove | Noah Atubolu remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Goalkeeper | Goalkeeper |
| Club · league | Sunderland AFC · Premier League | SC Freiburg · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1496 | 1551 |
| League minutes | 3150 (92%) | 3060 (100%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 86 | 85 |
| Market value | €28.0M | €25.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €22.6M – €43.3M | €11.6M – €26.4M |
| Model value | €8.1M – €36.5M | €10.1M – €29.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €18.7M – €37.7M | €15.3M – €40.4M |
| Bargain Index | 31/100 | 89/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€22.6M – €43.3M Model value (performance-implied)€8.1M – €36.5M Projected value (24 months)€18.7M – €37.7M Dashed line: current market value (€28.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€11.6M – €26.4M Model value (performance-implied)€10.1M – €29.1M Projected value (24 months)€15.3M – €40.4M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Robin Roefs and Noah Atubolu
- Roefs plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.94); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Atubolu is estimated to cost far less (€15.4M vs €31.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Atubolu (Bargain Index 89 vs 31) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.