Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Evan Ferguson remove | Conrad Harder remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 21 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Associazione Sportiva Roma · Serie A | RB Leipzig · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1638 | 1573 |
| League minutes | 776 (23%) | 977 (32%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 80 | 59 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €17.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €15.3M – €27.4M | €14.0M – €25.7M |
| Model value | €10.6M – €29.4M | €4.6M – €20.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €11.1M – €37.0M | €9.3M – €30.6M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 32/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 8% | 25% |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Low | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€15.3M – €27.4M Model value (performance-implied)€10.6M – €29.4M Projected value (24 months)€11.1M – €37.0M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€14.0M – €25.7M Model value (performance-implied)€4.6M – €20.0M Projected value (24 months)€9.3M – €30.6M Dashed line: current market value (€17.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Evan Ferguson and Conrad Harder
- The two profiles are close on every dimension the current data measures.