Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Daniil Denisov remove | Lucas Rosa remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 26 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | FK Spartak Moskva · Premier Liga | Ajax Amsterdam · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.56 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1443 | 1405 |
| League minutes | 2188 (81%) | 2145 (70%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.03 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 57 | 46 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €5.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.8M – €5.4M | €2.3M – €5.3M |
| Model value | €1.5M – €7.9M | €1.1M – €2.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.9M – €7.1M | €2.4M – €6.3M |
| Bargain Index | 67/100 | 65/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.8M – €5.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €7.9M Projected value (24 months)€1.9M – €7.1M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €5.3M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €2.5M Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €6.3M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Daniil Denisov and Lucas Rosa
- Denisov is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Risk differs: Denisov High, Rosa Moderate.