Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Adam Karabec remove | Pablo Marín remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Olympique Lyon · Ligue 1 | Real Sociedad · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1554 | 1462 |
| League minutes | 925 (30%) | 1494 (44%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.18 | 0.24 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 60 | 54 |
| Market value | €7.0M | €7.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €3.6M – €12.7M | €4.2M – €11.2M |
| Model value | €3.4M – €14.5M | €3.3M – €10.7M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.8M – €15.3M | €3.4M – €10.7M |
| Bargain Index | 63/100 | 46/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 47% | 20% |
| Risk | High | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€3.6M – €12.7M Model value (performance-implied)€3.4M – €14.5M Projected value (24 months)€3.8M – €15.3M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.2M – €11.2M Model value (performance-implied)€3.3M – €10.7M Projected value (24 months)€3.4M – €10.7M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Adam Karabec and Pablo Marín
- On value for money the model prefers Karabec (Bargain Index 63 vs 46) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Karabec High, Marín Low.