Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lewis Neilson remove | Billy Koumetio remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Falkirk FC · Scottish Premiership | Dundee FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1181 | 1121 |
| League minutes | 917 (31%) | 969 (33%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 5 | 3 |
| Market value | €600k | €400k |
| Estimated acquisition | €218k – €975k | €137k – €594k |
| Model value | €340k – €618k | €208k – €482k |
| Projected value (24m) | €314k – €958k | €213k – €629k |
| Bargain Index | 67/100 | 68/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€218k – €975k Model value (performance-implied)€340k – €618k Projected value (24 months)€314k – €958k Dashed line: current market value (€600k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€137k – €594k Model value (performance-implied)€208k – €482k Projected value (24 months)€213k – €629k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lewis Neilson and Billy Koumetio
- Koumetio is estimated to cost far less (€334k vs €511k mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Neilson Very High, Koumetio High.