Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Diogo Nascimento remove | Pedro Bravo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 21 |
| Position | Central midfielder | Central midfielder |
| Club · league | Olympiakos Syndesmos Filathlon Peiraios · Super League 1 | FC Midtjylland · Superliga |
| League strength | 0.42 | 0.47 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1550 | 1562 |
| League minutes | 968 (41%) | 1151 (58%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.28 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 50 | 47 |
| Market value | €4.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.3M – €6.4M | €2.0M – €6.7M |
| Model value | €1.6M – €7.2M | €1.2M – €6.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.4M – €9.8M | €3.0M – €13.5M |
| Bargain Index | 69/100 | 92/100 |
| Development | Low | High |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | 44% |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.3M – €6.4M Model value (performance-implied)€1.6M – €7.2M Projected value (24 months)€2.4M – €9.8M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €6.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.2M – €6.6M Projected value (24 months)€3.0M – €13.5M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Diogo Nascimento and Pedro Bravo
- Bravo is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Nascimento has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.15 vs 0.06 per 90).
- Bravo was used far more by the club (58% of minutes vs 41%).
- On value for money the model prefers Bravo (Bargain Index 92 vs 69) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.