Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Samuel Mbangula remove | Raúl Moro remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 23 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga | CA Osasuna · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1378 | 1417 |
| League minutes | 1169 (38%) | 1185 (35%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.54 | 0.23 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 55 | 43 |
| Market value | €8.0M | €3.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.4M – €10.9M | €1.6M – €4.6M |
| Model value | €2.7M – €9.4M | €1.7M – €4.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €3.4M – €14.5M | €1.4M – €4.9M |
| Bargain Index | 54/100 | 34/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 22% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.4M – €10.9M Model value (performance-implied)€2.7M – €9.4M Projected value (24 months)€3.4M – €14.5M Dashed line: current market value (€8.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.6M – €4.6M Model value (performance-implied)€1.7M – €4.2M Projected value (24 months)€1.4M – €4.9M Dashed line: current market value (€3.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Samuel Mbangula and Raúl Moro
- Moro is estimated to cost far less (€3.2M vs €7.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Mbangula (Bargain Index 54 vs 34) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.