Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Tristan Gooijer remove | Talha Ülvan remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 25 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie | Eyüpspor · Super Lig |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.40 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1186 | 1204 |
| League minutes | 1371 (45%) | 1106 (36%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.20 | 0.16 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 4 | 6 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €400k |
| Estimated acquisition | €596k – €1.8M | €98k – €531k |
| Model value | €213k – €758k | €223k – €637k |
| Projected value (24m) | €774k – €2.8M | €277k – €565k |
| Bargain Index | 70/100 | 97/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 30% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€596k – €1.8M Model value (performance-implied)€213k – €758k Projected value (24 months)€774k – €2.8M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€98k – €531k Model value (performance-implied)€223k – €637k Projected value (24 months)€277k – €565k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Tristan Gooijer and Talha Ülvan
- Gooijer is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Ülvan is estimated to cost far less (€219k vs €1.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Ülvan (Bargain Index 97 vs 70) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.