Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Matthis Abline remove | Ilyas Chaira remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Left winger | Left winger |
| Club · league | FC Nantes · Ligue 1 | Real Oviedo · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1304 | 1294 |
| League minutes | 2497 (82%) | 2461 (72%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 61 | 52 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €12.8M – €24.8M | €1.9M – €5.7M |
| Model value | €4.4M – €22.4M | €1.5M – €8.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €10.3M – €29.0M | €2.1M – €6.9M |
| Bargain Index | 32/100 | 51/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€12.8M – €24.8M Model value (performance-implied)€4.4M – €22.4M Projected value (24 months)€10.3M – €29.0M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.9M – €5.7M Model value (performance-implied)€1.5M – €8.0M Projected value (24 months)€2.1M – €6.9M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Matthis Abline and Ilyas Chaira
- Abline is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Chaira is estimated to cost far less (€3.6M vs €18.9M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Chaira (Bargain Index 51 vs 32) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.