Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Piero Hincapié remove | Ian Maatsen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 24 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Arsenal FC · Premier League | Aston Villa · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1864 | 1721 |
| League minutes | 1882 (55%) | 1599 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 98 | 93 |
| Market value | €50.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €31.3M – €72.2M | €18.8M – €41.5M |
| Model value | €35.8M – €72.2M | €22.2M – €35.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €29.2M – €62.9M | €20.2M – €41.2M |
| Bargain Index | 25/100 | 20/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€31.3M – €72.2M Model value (performance-implied)€35.8M – €72.2M Projected value (24 months)€29.2M – €62.9M Dashed line: current market value (€50.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €41.5M Model value (performance-implied)€22.2M – €35.0M Projected value (24 months)€20.2M – €41.2M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Piero Hincapié and Ian Maatsen
- Maatsen is estimated to cost far less (€32.8M vs €55.5M mid-estimate).