Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Arseniy Batagov remove | Ahmetcan Kaplan remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 24 | 23 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Trabzonspor · Super Lig | NEC Nijmegen · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1368 | 1362 |
| League minutes | 2115 (69%) | 2046 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.09 | 0.04 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 37 | 35 |
| Market value | €11.0M | €7.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €7.2M – €15.9M | €2.9M – €7.6M |
| Model value | €737k – €2.4M | €809k – €3.3M |
| Projected value (24m) | €5.6M – €15.6M | €3.1M – €11.2M |
| Bargain Index | 16/100 | 89/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€7.2M – €15.9M Model value (performance-implied)€737k – €2.4M Projected value (24 months)€5.6M – €15.6M Dashed line: current market value (€11.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.9M – €7.6M Model value (performance-implied)€809k – €3.3M Projected value (24 months)€3.1M – €11.2M Dashed line: current market value (€7.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Arseniy Batagov and Ahmetcan Kaplan
- Kaplan is estimated to cost far less (€3.9M vs €11.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Kaplan (Bargain Index 89 vs 16) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Batagov Moderate, Kaplan High.