Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nazinho remove | Tiago Araújo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 25 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | KAA Gent · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1325 | 1403 |
| League minutes | 2074 (77%) | 1800 (67%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 38 | 43 |
| Market value | €6.0M | €2.5M |
| Estimated acquisition | €4.0M – €9.1M | €1.3M – €3.9M |
| Model value | €1.0M – €3.0M | €841k – €4.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.8M – €10.6M | €1.1M – €3.7M |
| Bargain Index | 32/100 | 51/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Low |
| Breakout probability | 20% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€4.0M – €9.1M Model value (performance-implied)€1.0M – €3.0M Projected value (24 months)€2.8M – €10.6M Dashed line: current market value (€6.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€1.3M – €3.9M Model value (performance-implied)€841k – €4.0M Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€2.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nazinho and Tiago Araújo
- Nazinho is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Araújo is estimated to cost far less (€2.2M vs €6.3M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Araújo (Bargain Index 51 vs 32) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.