Player Comparison

Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.

João Victor removeÓscar Rivas remove
Age2726
PositionCentre-backCentre-back
Club · leaguePFK CSKA Moskva · Premier LigaVitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal
League strength0.560.58
Team strength (Elo)14361361
League minutes1380 (51%)1620 (53%)
G+A per 90 (raw)0.070.06
G+A per 90 (context-adjusted)0.050.06
Passing / defending / progressionData unavailableData unavailable
Performance percentile4335
Market value€3.0M€1.0M
Estimated acquisition€838k – €3.5M€398k – €1.6M
Model value€669k – €2.0M€630k – €2.4M
Projected value (24m)€1.1M – €3.5M€596k – €1.7M
Bargain Index55/10057/100
DevelopmentLowLow
Breakout probabilityn/a (age > 23)n/a (age > 23)
RiskHighModerate
Data confidenceMediumMedium
Value picture
Estimated acquisition€838k – €3.5M
Model value (performance-implied)€669k – €2.0M
Projected value (24 months)€1.1M – €3.5M
Dashed line: current market value (€3.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.
Estimated acquisition€398k – €1.6M
Model value (performance-implied)€630k – €2.4M
Projected value (24 months)€596k – €1.7M
Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median.

What separates João Victor and Óscar Rivas

  • Rivas is estimated to cost far less (€919k vs €2.1M mid-estimate).
  • Risk differs: Victor High, Rivas Moderate.