Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| David van der Werff remove | Ibrahim Said remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 21 | 24 |
| Position | Right winger | Right winger |
| Club · league | FC Groningen · Eredivisie | Motherwell FC · Scottish Premiership |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.31 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1248 | 1245 |
| League minutes | 2062 (67%) | 2032 (68%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.22 | 0.13 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 9 | 18 |
| Market value | €2.0M | €2.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.4M – €3.5M | €822k – €2.3M |
| Model value | €317k – €1.1M | €692k – €1.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.0M – €5.2M | €1.0M – €3.7M |
| Bargain Index | 52/100 | 95/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 25% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.4M – €3.5M Model value (performance-implied)€317k – €1.1M Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €5.2M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€822k – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€692k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€1.0M – €3.7M Dashed line: current market value (€2.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates David van der Werff and Ibrahim Said
- Werff is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Said is estimated to cost far less (€1.1M vs €2.2M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Said (Bargain Index 95 vs 52) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.