Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Jan Jurcec remove | Vladyslav Baboglo remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 27 |
| Position | Right-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Kryvbas Kryvyi Rig · Premier Liga | Karpaty Lviv · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1219 | 1213 |
| League minutes | 2700 (100%) | 2262 (84%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.20 | 0.24 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 29 | 36 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €443k – €1.4M | €282k – €745k |
| Model value | €433k – €1.5M | €620k – €1.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €629k – €2.5M | €384k – €1.0M |
| Bargain Index | 99/100 | 86/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€443k – €1.4M Model value (performance-implied)€433k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€629k – €2.5M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€282k – €745k Model value (performance-implied)€620k – €1.4M Projected value (24 months)€384k – €1.0M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Jan Jurcec and Vladyslav Baboglo
- Jurcec is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Jurcec was used far more by the club (100% of minutes vs 84%).
- Baboglo is estimated to cost far less (€376k vs €591k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Jurcec (Bargain Index 99 vs 86) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Jurcec Very High, Baboglo High.