
Vladyslav Baboglo
Value picture
Where the market, the likely price and the model estimates sit.
The model rates Vladyslav Baboglo's performance-implied value at EUR 0.6M-1.4M, above the estimated acquisition range of EUR 0.3M-0.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 0.4M-1.0M. Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.
Acquisition note: Final year of contract: selling club's leverage is reduced.
Bargain Index: 86
What drives the score. Not a black box: each component and its level.
| Performance | Average | 36.2th pct among DEF peers (age-neutral) |
| Age | Neutral | 27.6 years |
| Acquisition cost | Very favorable | est. €376k vs market €1.0M |
| Expected appreciation | Low | -26% over ~2 years (model) |
| Value gap | Very large | weak predictor on its own |
| Development | Low | |
| League translation | Uncertain | league coefficient 0.25 |
| Tactical fit | Not evaluated | Requires event/role data not available from the current free source. |
| Risk | High | |
| Data confidence | Medium |
Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.
Market value history
Market value ≠ transfer fee ≠ acquisition cost.
Profile vs positional peers
Percentiles among 1268 evaluated DEF players with 900+ minutes.
Performance (last season, league)
- Minutes
- 2262 (84% of available)
- Goals + assists / 90
- 0.24
- Context-adjusted G+A / 90
- 0.17
- xG, xA, progression
- Data unavailable
- Defensive actions
- Data unavailable
- Performance percentile
- 36 (Average)
Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.
Context
- League strength
- 0.25 (rank 30)
- Team strength (Elo)
- 1213
- Opponent strength
- 1191
- Possession, role
- Data unavailable
League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.
Potential
- Development
- Low
- Trajectory
- improving
- Breakout probability
- Age > 23
- Resale range (24m)
- €384k – €1.0M
Trajectory drivers: relative output up 64% vs positional peers.
Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +13% (IQR -24% to +258%).
Risk profile
Overall: High
- ▲League level coefficient 0.25 (1.00 = big-five average): output may not translate.
- ⚠No continental-competition minutes last season.
- ⚠Contract ends in 12 months: cheaper, but competition and wage demands likely.
- ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.
League translation
What happened to players who moved from this league to the big-five leagues (observed, not a forecast).
- Historical movers
- 11 (DEF)
- Relative output kept
- 108%–176%
- Held a regular role (900+ min)
- 82%
- Confidence
- Low
Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.
Season-by-season (domestic league)
Context-adjusted values are model outputs.
| Season | Club | League | Pos | Apps | Min | Min share | G | A | G+A/90 | Adj. G+A/90 | Opp. Elo | Team Elo | League str. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 26 | 2262 | 84% | 4 | 2 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 1191 | 1213 | 0.25 |
| 2024/25 | Karpaty Lviv | Premier Liga | CB | 28 | 2486 | 92% | 3 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 1214 | 1185 | 0.28 |
| 2023/24 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 5 | 450 | 17% | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0.12 | 1305 | 1218 | 0.34 |
| 2022/23 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 27 | 2385 | 88% | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 0.08 | 1292 | 1284 | 0.38 |
| 2021/22 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 16 | 1385 | 85% | 2 | 1 | 0.19 | 0.16 | 1312 | 1297 | 0.45 |
| 2020/21 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 21 | 1405 | 60% | 1 | 1 | 0.13 | 0.11 | 1294 | 1285 | 0.49 |
| 2019/20 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 13 | 998 | 50% | 2 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 1325 | 1356 | 0.54 |
| 2018/19 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 3 | 270 | 14% | 1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.12 | 1339 | 1384 | 0.57 |
| 2017/18 | FC Oleksandriya | Premier Liga | CB | 2 | 91 | 5% | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 1219 | 1318 | 0.62 |
Cups & continental competitions
| Season | Competition | Club | Apps | Min | G | A | Avg opp. Elo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/26 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2024/25 | Ukrainian Cup | Karpaty Lviv | 2 | 135 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2021/22 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 61 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2020/21 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 3 | 256 | 0 | 1 | — |
| 2019/20 | Uefa Europa League | FC Oleksandriya | 3 | 181 | 0 | 0 | 1551 |
| 2019/20 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 120 | 0 | 0 | — |
| 2018/19 | Ukrainian Cup | FC Oleksandriya | 1 | 90 | 0 | 0 | — |
Small continental samples are shown for context only and are not over-weighted.
Historical comparables
Most similar profiles 2+ years ago (same position group) and what happened next. Chosen by similarity only — failures included.
| Player (then) | Age | Value then | ~2y later | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdülkerim Bardakcı Super Lig · 2021 | 27 | €1.7M | €6.5M | rose |
| Stelios Kitsiou Super Lig · 2021 | 28 | €800k | €900k | flat |
| Dimitrios Goutas Super League 1 · 2021 | 27 | €700k | €2.7M | rose |
| Denys Miroshnichenko Premier Liga · 2023 | 29 | €700k | €800k | flat |
| Derek Cornelius Super League 1 · 2022 | 25 | €800k | €2.8M | rose |
| Tymur Stetskov Premier Liga · 2024 | 26 | €1.0M | €300k | fell |
| Franco Ferrari Super League 1 · 2022 | 30 | €600k | €500k | flat |
| Vasyl Kravets Premier Liga · 2023 | 26 | €1.2M | €700k | fell |
Transfer history
Fees as reported by the source; undisclosed fees shown as unknown, never estimated.
| Date | From | To | Fee | MV at time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2023 | FC Oleksandriya | Karpaty Lviv | €585k | €700k |
| 1 Jan 2018 | Oleksandriya II | FC Oleksandriya | Unknown | Data unavailable |
| 13 Jul 2017 | Chornomor. U19 | Oleksandriya II | Free / loan | Data unavailable |
| 25 Feb 2015 | C. Odessa U17 | Chornomor. U19 | Unknown | Data unavailable |
MoneyballAI identifies statistical opportunities from available data. A player flagged as a potential bargain is not guaranteed to succeed, to transfer, to rise in value, or to generate resale profit. Market values, fees and contracts come from third-party sources; ranges are model estimates with stated confidence.