Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Adam Carlén remove | Edson Fernando remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 28 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | Excelsior Rotterdam · Eredivisie | Rukh Lviv · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.25 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1183 | 1105 |
| League minutes | 1224 (40%) | 1323 (49%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.07 | 0.20 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 2 | 1 |
| Market value | €400k | €500k |
| Estimated acquisition | €93k – €295k | €0 – €153k |
| Model value | €239k – €411k | €215k – €529k |
| Projected value (24m) | €241k – €478k | €219k – €558k |
| Bargain Index | 96/100 | 86/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€93k – €295k Model value (performance-implied)€239k – €411k Projected value (24 months)€241k – €478k Dashed line: current market value (€400k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €153k Model value (performance-implied)€215k – €529k Projected value (24 months)€219k – €558k Dashed line: current market value (€500k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Adam Carlén and Edson Fernando
- Carlén is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Carlén plays in a stronger league (0.43 vs 0.25); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Fernando is estimated to cost far less (€27k vs €124k mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Carlén (Bargain Index 96 vs 86) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.