Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Gary Magnée remove | Tiago Esgaio remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 26 | 30 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Cercle Brugge · Jupiler Pro League | FC Arouca · Liga Portugal |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.58 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1325 | 1310 |
| League minutes | 2603 (96%) | 2464 (81%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 49 | 47 |
| Market value | €2.2M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €1.1M – €2.3M | €251k – €771k |
| Model value | €836k – €2.8M | €580k – €2.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €1.2M – €2.9M | €365k – €738k |
| Bargain Index | 50/100 | 59/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€1.1M – €2.3M Model value (performance-implied)€836k – €2.8M Projected value (24 months)€1.2M – €2.9M Dashed line: current market value (€2.2M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€251k – €771k Model value (performance-implied)€580k – €2.0M Projected value (24 months)€365k – €738k Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Gary Magnée and Tiago Esgaio
- Magnée is 4 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Magnée was used far more by the club (96% of minutes vs 81%).
- Esgaio is estimated to cost far less (€335k vs €1.7M mid-estimate).
- Risk differs: Magnée Low, Esgaio High.