Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lucas Soares remove | Óscar Gil remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 28 |
| Position | Right midfielder | Right midfielder |
| Club · league | CD Santa Clara · Liga Portugal | Oud-Heverlee Leuven · Jupiler Pro League |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1276 | 1329 |
| League minutes | 2080 (68%) | 2023 (75%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.09 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.08 | 0.16 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 30 | 36 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €414k – €1.1M | €214k – €960k |
| Model value | €508k – €1.3M | €702k – €1.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €636k – €1.4M | €321k – €786k |
| Bargain Index | 77/100 | 61/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€414k – €1.1M Model value (performance-implied)€508k – €1.3M Projected value (24 months)€636k – €1.4M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€214k – €960k Model value (performance-implied)€702k – €1.8M Projected value (24 months)€321k – €786k Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lucas Soares and Óscar Gil
- Gil has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.16 vs 0.08 per 90).
- On value for money the model prefers Soares (Bargain Index 77 vs 61) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Soares Moderate, Gil Low.