Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Freddie Potts remove | Ilia Gruev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 26 |
| Position | Defensive midfielder | Defensive midfielder |
| Club · league | West Ham United · Premier League | Leeds United · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1520 | 1521 |
| League minutes | 1167 (34%) | 1324 (39%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.08 | 0.20 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.10 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 74 | 80 |
| Market value | €10.0M | €12.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €7.3M – €17.5M | €5.5M – €11.8M |
| Model value | €4.9M – €25.8M | €4.9M – €16.8M |
| Projected value (24m) | €6.0M – €19.8M | €6.6M – €17.4M |
| Bargain Index | 59/100 | 90/100 |
| Development | High | Low |
| Breakout probability | 17% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€7.3M – €17.5M Model value (performance-implied)€4.9M – €25.8M Projected value (24 months)€6.0M – €19.8M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.5M – €11.8M Model value (performance-implied)€4.9M – €16.8M Projected value (24 months)€6.6M – €17.4M Dashed line: current market value (€12.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Freddie Potts and Ilia Gruev
- Potts is 3 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Gruev has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.21 vs 0.10 per 90).
- Gruev is estimated to cost far less (€7.3M vs €11.7M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Gruev (Bargain Index 90 vs 59) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.