Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Anton Gaaei remove | Evgeniy Morozov remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Right-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Ajax Amsterdam · Eredivisie | Футбольный клуб "Локомотив" Москва · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.43 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1405 | 1418 |
| League minutes | 1793 (59%) | 1602 (59%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 50 | 49 |
| Market value | €5.0M | €4.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €2.1M – €5.5M | €2.0M – €5.6M |
| Model value | €1.1M – €7.3M | €834k – €5.4M |
| Projected value (24m) | €2.3M – €6.8M | €1.9M – €5.3M |
| Bargain Index | 63/100 | 34/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€2.1M – €5.5M Model value (performance-implied)€1.1M – €7.3M Projected value (24 months)€2.3M – €6.8M Dashed line: current market value (€5.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€2.0M – €5.6M Model value (performance-implied)€834k – €5.4M Projected value (24 months)€1.9M – €5.3M Dashed line: current market value (€4.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Anton Gaaei and Evgeniy Morozov
- On value for money the model prefers Gaaei (Bargain Index 63 vs 34) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Gaaei Moderate, Morozov High.