Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nicolò Savona remove | Josha Vagnoman remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 25 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | Nottingham Forest · Premier League | VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga |
| League strength | 1.30 | 0.94 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1635 | 1567 |
| League minutes | 1026 (30%) | 1587 (52%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.28 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.22 | 0.17 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 87 | 79 |
| Market value | €15.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €9.0M – €21.4M | €5.6M – €13.0M |
| Model value | €11.3M – €21.6M | €3.9M – €14.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €9.7M – €26.2M | €4.3M – €14.9M |
| Bargain Index | 59/100 | 38/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€9.0M – €21.4M Model value (performance-implied)€11.3M – €21.6M Projected value (24 months)€9.7M – €26.2M Dashed line: current market value (€15.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.6M – €13.0M Model value (performance-implied)€3.9M – €14.2M Projected value (24 months)€4.3M – €14.9M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nicolò Savona and Josha Vagnoman
- Savona is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Savona plays in a stronger league (1.30 vs 0.94); the other's output carries more translation uncertainty.
- Vagnoman was used far more by the club (52% of minutes vs 30%).
- Vagnoman is estimated to cost far less (€9.2M vs €15.4M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Savona (Bargain Index 59 vs 38) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.