Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Lorenzo Bernasconi remove | Miguel Gutiérrez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 24 |
| Position | Left midfielder | Left midfielder |
| Club · league | Atalanta BC · Serie A | SSC Napoli · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1588 | 1618 |
| League minutes | 1569 (46%) | 1484 (43%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 72 | 77 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €22.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €15.8M – €29.6M | €15.3M – €28.1M |
| Model value | €3.2M – €15.7M | €9.7M – €17.2M |
| Projected value (24m) | €12.3M – €41.2M | €10.5M – €27.2M |
| Bargain Index | 54/100 | 27/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 17% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€15.8M – €29.6M Model value (performance-implied)€3.2M – €15.7M Projected value (24 months)€12.3M – €41.2M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€15.3M – €28.1M Model value (performance-implied)€9.7M – €17.2M Projected value (24 months)€10.5M – €27.2M Dashed line: current market value (€22.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Lorenzo Bernasconi and Miguel Gutiérrez
- Bernasconi is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Bernasconi (Bargain Index 54 vs 27) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.