Miguel Gutiérrez

The model rates Miguel Gutiérrez's performance-implied value at EUR 9.7M-17.2M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.3M-28.1M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 10.5M-27.2M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 0.64x the positional average in the league (1484 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1484 (43% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.12

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.14

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

77 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1618

Opponent strength

1511

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

declining

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€10.5M – €27.2M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share down 29 pts; changed club; team strength up (+215 Elo); role change LB -> LM; relative output down 59% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change -30% (IQR -51% to +37%).

• ⚠Limited sample: 1484 league minutes last season.
• ⚠Declining trajectory versus previous season.
• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.