Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Guéla Doué remove | Arnau Martínez remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 23 |
| Position | Right-back | Right-back |
| Club · league | RC Strasbourg Alsace · Ligue 1 | Girona FC · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1502 | 1413 |
| League minutes | 2064 (68%) | 2678 (78%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 75 | 73 |
| Market value | €20.0M | €10.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €13.6M – €26.3M | €4.1M – €11.2M |
| Model value | €5.4M – €17.1M | €5.7M – €20.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €10.5M – €26.7M | €5.8M – €18.8M |
| Bargain Index | 36/100 | 98/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Moderate |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€13.6M – €26.3M Model value (performance-implied)€5.4M – €17.1M Projected value (24 months)€10.5M – €26.7M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€4.1M – €11.2M Model value (performance-implied)€5.7M – €20.5M Projected value (24 months)€5.8M – €18.8M Dashed line: current market value (€10.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Guéla Doué and Arnau Martínez
- Martínez is estimated to cost far less (€5.5M vs €18.8M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Martínez (Bargain Index 98 vs 36) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Doué Low, Martínez Moderate.