Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| İbrahim Kaya remove | Justin Lonwijk remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 26 |
| Position | Attacking midfielder | Attacking midfielder |
| Club · league | Alanyaspor · Super Lig | Fortuna Sittardia Combinatie · Eredivisie |
| League strength | 0.40 | 0.43 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1229 | 1175 |
| League minutes | 1154 (38%) | 905 (30%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.47 | 0.46 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 8 | 9 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €800k |
| Estimated acquisition | €556k – €2.4M | €209k – €598k |
| Model value | €308k – €660k | €319k – €507k |
| Projected value (24m) | €729k – €2.5M | €511k – €1.2M |
| Bargain Index | 85/100 | 96/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€556k – €2.4M Model value (performance-implied)€308k – €660k Projected value (24 months)€729k – €2.5M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€209k – €598k Model value (performance-implied)€319k – €507k Projected value (24 months)€511k – €1.2M Dashed line: current market value (€800k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates İbrahim Kaya and Justin Lonwijk
- Lonwijk is estimated to cost far less (€279k vs €1.0M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Lonwijk (Bargain Index 96 vs 85) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.