Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Luc Marijnissen remove | Marat Bokoev remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 23 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | FCV Dender EH · Jupiler Pro League | Akron Togliatti · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.65 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1207 | 1212 |
| League minutes | 2520 (93%) | 2407 (89%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.06 | 0.09 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 27 | 28 |
| Market value | €1.5M | €1.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €778k – €2.8M | €431k – €1.2M |
| Model value | €542k – €1.7M | €620k – €1.6M |
| Projected value (24m) | €780k – €3.1M | €615k – €2.2M |
| Bargain Index | 55/100 | 69/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Moderate | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€778k – €2.8M Model value (performance-implied)€542k – €1.7M Projected value (24 months)€780k – €3.1M Dashed line: current market value (€1.5M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€431k – €1.2M Model value (performance-implied)€620k – €1.6M Projected value (24 months)€615k – €2.2M Dashed line: current market value (€1.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Luc Marijnissen and Marat Bokoev
- Bokoev is estimated to cost far less (€865k vs €1.5M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Bokoev (Bargain Index 69 vs 55) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.
- Risk differs: Marijnissen Moderate, Bokoev High.