Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Ernest Poku remove | Nicola Zalewski remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 24 |
| Position | Left midfielder | Left midfielder |
| Club · league | Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga | Atalanta BC · Serie A |
| League strength | 0.94 | 0.93 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1614 | 1588 |
| League minutes | 1562 (51%) | 1905 (56%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.63 | 0.33 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 74 | 82 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €20.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.3M – €35.5M | €15.9M – €26.7M |
| Model value | €6.7M – €21.2M | €12.4M – €24.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €16.5M – €39.1M | €9.6M – €27.8M |
| Bargain Index | 23/100 | 42/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 18% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.3M – €35.5M Model value (performance-implied)€6.7M – €21.2M Projected value (24 months)€16.5M – €39.1M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€15.9M – €26.7M Model value (performance-implied)€12.4M – €24.5M Projected value (24 months)€9.6M – €27.8M Dashed line: current market value (€20.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Ernest Poku and Nicola Zalewski
- Poku is 2 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- On value for money the model prefers Zalewski (Bargain Index 42 vs 23) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.