Nicola Zalewski

The model rates Nicola Zalewski's performance-implied value at EUR 12.4M-24.5M, below the estimated acquisition range of EUR 15.9M-26.7M. Its 24-month market value projection is EUR 9.6M-27.8M. Context-adjusted goal contributions are 1.13x the positional average in the league (1905 minutes, league coefficient 0.93). Confidence is medium: no event-level data (xG, progressive actions) is available from the current free source, and injury history is unavailable.

Bargain Index = percentile (among all evaluated players) of expected 2-year value relative to estimated cost. See methodology and backtests.

Minutes

1905 (56% of available)

Goals + assists / 90

0.33

Context-adjusted G+A / 90

0.25

xG, xA, progression

Data unavailable

Defensive actions

Data unavailable

Performance percentile

82 (High)

Adjusted = shrunk toward positional baseline for small samples, corrected for team dominance over opponents, expressed relative to positional peers in the same league.

League strength

0.93 (rank 4)

Team strength (Elo)

1588

Opponent strength

1476

Possession, role

Data unavailable

League strength 1.00 = average club of the big-five leagues. Elo includes continental matches.

Development

Moderate

Trajectory

improving

Breakout probability

Age > 23

Resale range (24m)

€9.6M – €27.8M

Trajectory drivers: minutes share up 28 pts; changed club; team strength down (-148 Elo); relative output up 54% vs positional peers.

Historical comparables (8): median 2-year value change +32% (IQR -60% to +57%).

• ⓘInjury history unavailable from current data source.

Already playing in a big-five league.

Output is relative to positional peers in each league. Movers are a selected group (clubs buy players who fit), so treat this as context, not a guarantee.