Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Nélson Oliveira remove | Egor Golenkov remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 34 | 26 |
| Position | Striker | Striker |
| Club · league | Vitória Guimarães SC · Liga Portugal | FK Rostov · Premier Liga |
| League strength | 0.58 | 0.56 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1361 | 1301 |
| League minutes | 1315 (43%) | 1891 (70%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.27 | 0.36 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 43 | 29 |
| Market value | €200k | €1.7M |
| Estimated acquisition | €59k – €310k | €0 – €629k |
| Model value | €360k – €728k | €567k – €1.5M |
| Projected value (24m) | €84k – €202k | €676k – €1.7M |
| Bargain Index | No index | 67/100 |
| Development | Low | Low |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Very High | High |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€59k – €310k Model value (performance-implied)€360k – €728k Projected value (24 months)€84k – €202k Dashed line: current market value (€200k). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€0 – €629k Model value (performance-implied)€567k – €1.5M Projected value (24 months)€676k – €1.7M Dashed line: current market value (€1.7M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Nélson Oliveira and Egor Golenkov
- Golenkov is 8 years younger, which the models associate with more appreciation and resale potential.
- Golenkov has higher context-adjusted goal contributions (0.36 vs 0.27 per 90).
- Golenkov was used far more by the club (70% of minutes vs 43%).
- Risk differs: Oliveira Very High, Golenkov High.