Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Milos Kerkez remove | Ian Maatsen remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 22 | 24 |
| Position | Left-back | Left-back |
| Club · league | Liverpool FC · Premier League | Aston Villa · Premier League |
| League strength | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1682 | 1721 |
| League minutes | 2261 (66%) | 1599 (47%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 96 | 93 |
| Market value | €35.0M | €30.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €24.0M – €47.1M | €18.8M – €41.5M |
| Model value | €46.1M – €69.3M | €22.2M – €35.0M |
| Projected value (24m) | €24.5M – €45.2M | €20.2M – €41.2M |
| Bargain Index | 31/100 | 20/100 |
| Development | High | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | 10% | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€24.0M – €47.1M Model value (performance-implied)€46.1M – €69.3M Projected value (24 months)€24.5M – €45.2M Dashed line: current market value (€35.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€18.8M – €41.5M Model value (performance-implied)€22.2M – €35.0M Projected value (24 months)€20.2M – €41.2M Dashed line: current market value (€30.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Milos Kerkez and Ian Maatsen
- Kerkez was used far more by the club (66% of minutes vs 47%).
- On value for money the model prefers Kerkez (Bargain Index 31 vs 20) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.