Player Comparison
Side by side on performance, context, cost and risk. Differences are explained — no single 'better player' verdict.
| Natan remove | César Tárrega remove | |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 25 | 24 |
| Position | Centre-back | Centre-back |
| Club · league | Real Betis Balompié · Laliga | Valencia CF · Laliga |
| League strength | 0.95 | 0.95 |
| Team strength (Elo) | 1549 | 1497 |
| League minutes | 2810 (82%) | 2596 (76%) |
| G+A per 90 (raw) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| G+A per 90 (context-adjusted) | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Passing / defending / progression | Data unavailable | Data unavailable |
| Performance percentile | 85 | 80 |
| Market value | €25.0M | €9.0M |
| Estimated acquisition | €19.4M – €35.5M | €5.8M – €13.1M |
| Model value | €9.7M – €25.8M | €7.5M – €22.1M |
| Projected value (24m) | €15.2M – €36.9M | €5.2M – €14.7M |
| Bargain Index | 35/100 | 55/100 |
| Development | Moderate | Moderate |
| Breakout probability | n/a (age > 23) | n/a (age > 23) |
| Risk | Low | Low |
| Data confidence | Medium | Medium |
| Value picture | Estimated acquisition€19.4M – €35.5M Model value (performance-implied)€9.7M – €25.8M Projected value (24 months)€15.2M – €36.9M Dashed line: current market value (€25.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. | Estimated acquisition€5.8M – €13.1M Model value (performance-implied)€7.5M – €22.1M Projected value (24 months)€5.2M – €14.7M Dashed line: current market value (€9.0M). Bars are 20–80% model ranges; tick = median. |
What separates Natan and César Tárrega
- Tárrega is estimated to cost far less (€8.7M vs €26.1M mid-estimate).
- On value for money the model prefers Tárrega (Bargain Index 55 vs 35) — this is not a statement about who is the better player.